6.5 Indonesia

Earthquake Details
Magnitude 6.5
Date-Time Friday, March 05, 2010 at 16:06:57 UTC
Friday, March 05, 2010 at 11:06:57 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

Location 4.032°S, 100.806°E
Depth 22 km (13.7 miles) set by location program
Region SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
Distances 165 km (100 miles) W of Bengkulu, Sumatra, Indonesia
345 km (215 miles) S of Padang, Sumatra, Indonesia
415 km (255 miles) SW of Jambi, Sumatra, Indonesia
700 km (435 miles) WNW of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 8.4 km (5.2 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST= 56, Nph= 56, Dmin=241.4 km, Rmss=1.14 sec, Gp= 94°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)


Event ID us2010tlbk

Same area as the big one in 2004

2004 quake:
3.32N 95.85E 30km deep 9.2mag

2010 quake:
4.03S 100.81E 22km deep 6.5mag

Wonder if this will generate a tsunami too...I hope they sounded the alarm.

Hi Rose,

It is in Indonesia, but not in the same area as the Banda Aceh quake. But yet another one in the string of quakes that occur in that region which are falling like dominoes and it's also a quake I predicted in December, but missed by a scant 5 days.

PREDICTION POSTED 12/20/09 RESULT - B, B, A
SIKAKAP, INDONESIA (ON SHORE)
NEAR KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
-2.78S 100.21E
RADIUS 160KM
M 6.0> OR GREATER
EFFECTIVE 01/01/10 - 02/28/10
Probability 65%
ANSS CATALOG:
PDE-Q 2010 02 22 234744.68 -3.65 101.45 57 5.1 mbGS ... ....... 167KM
LATE ARRIVAL 03/05/10
6.5 2010/03/05 16:06:58 -4.032 100.806 22.0 SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA 154 KM-USGS
2010-03-05 16:06:57.9 3.90 S 100.88 E 10 Mw 6.6 KEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA EMSC 147 KM

Oh well, back to the drawing board,

Petra
http://www.quakecentralforecasting.com/petpredicts.html

Even if you didn't get the timing down, it's not a failure...at least not in my eyes. Maybe it just travelled differently this time to you. ???

I just read that there was no tsunami from this...or at least that no threat was likely. No damages or injuries thus far. Yay!

Hi Rose,

I predicted the earthquake using plain old scientific methods. It's known that region has the domino effect going, so I selected an area that I thought should be next in line and it was.

So should we be asking them what their problem might be, given I don't know half of what they know? LOL

Petra

Well...you could do that for the sake of OUR entertainment. Going up against mainstream with bring you nothing but frustration in my opinion. If you have experimented and have a decade of results that are high percentage, it's better than what they have...which is nothing in the way of prediction. For me, that sticks better than saying that it's not possible. People want hard data, but there's just some data that you can't capture. But you CAN capture results and create reputation for accuracy.
Either way...you'll always have detractors. There will always be skeptics. You know the truth, so you can feel free to accept it as such.